Last week, Sensex & Nifty experienced a robust resurgence. The global stock markets, particularly in the US, saw a notable uptick, primarily due to a significant drop in UST levels to 4.5%.
The first week of 2023 will be dominated in the US by non-farm payrolls report, and the Federal Reserve December policy-meeting minutes. Also, investors will follow closely global PMI levels which will be released in this week.
Sensex & Nifty would witness rise in volatility amid negative global cues and sharp fall in USDINR (which will force RBI to hike interest rates sharply). However, sharp decline in oil prices is something to cheer for.
Global cues will be key trends to watch as investors will be keenly watching ECB outcome.
Nifty gained by 8% in the month of July amid tracking global equities rally. Domestic markets would rally if RBI hikes interest rates aggressively on expectations of policy stability going forward.
Action packed week ahead for investors as Fed will come out with policy-meeting outcome, US will report GDP growth and corporate earnings. Monthly F&O contracts expiry is another factor which would spurt volatility in the markets.
Selling spree continues as FIIs/FPIs sold Rs. 391 billion in May 2022. Investors will watch out for US jobs data and service PMI levels. Q4 earnings will keep domestic investors busy and GDP growth figures will be released.
Selling pressure likely to continue in markets despite any pullback in indices. FIIs pulled out whooping amount of Rs.1523 billion (YTD) from domestic equities and near-term negative global cues will weigh on investors sentiment.
Investors will watch out for new covid cases rise in Europe and China which is causing lockdown in few cities of China. FIIs/FPIs have sold Rs. 355 billion in February 2022 and Rs. 420 billion in March 2022 (as of 21st March 2022).
Investors will watch out for developments in Russia and Ukraine matter, ECB policy-meeting minutes, OPEC+ meeting and US non-farm payroll data. China will release PMI levels GDP growth data. Domestic investors will watch-out for Q3 GDP growth data.
Investors will watchout for ECB policy-meeting minutes, earnings reports from Goldman Sachs & Netflix and China Q4 GDP growth figures. Bajaj Finance, Cipla, Tatva Chintan, Ultratech Cements, and Bajaj Auto will report Q3 earnings.
Markets will react to domestic industrial output data came in at 3.2% YoY compared to 3.1% growth in previous month as the low base effect wanes. Market participants will watchout for FED & ECB policy-meeting outcome and domestic inflation data.
Sensex and Nifty50 will react to PM Narendra Modi decision of revoking the 3 farm laws and to the deal termination between Reliance Industries & Saudi Aramco. . F&O monthly expiry will also add additional pressure to the market in this week.
Global equities turned volatile during the start of the last week on the back of higher inflation figures recorded in US. However, Fed is acting as cool as cucumber when it come to inflationary pressures as it still believes it is transitory.
Big week for the Indian primary markets, 5 companies would be aiming for successful subscription. Result seasons is underwhelming as many corporates are concerned about rising raw material costs which is impacting margins
US NFP data came in lower than expectations which is positive for emerging markets but, its unlikely that Fed would change the course of guidance of taper program and rate hikes. Domestic investors will watch out for IIP, Inflation data and Q2 domestic earnings.
In the coming week, domestic investors will watch out for RBI policy outcome, Q2 domestic earnings will start from this Friday with TCS will be reporting after market hours. US jobs report and OPEC+ meeting outcome will be keenly watched.
Sensex touched 60K level and Nifty is just shy away from 18K level. Monthly F&O expiry would spurt volatility in the domestic markets. Going forward, investors will lookout for earnings season with IT companies to come out first and global manufacturing PMI levels.
Investors will watch out for PMI data points and US non-farm payroll data. OPEC+ meeting is scheduled in the week which would provide guidance on production plans for rest of the year. Domestic investors will watch out for June Auto sales data and trade figures.
Domestic inflation data, the balance of trade, and RBI policy meeting minutes will keenly be watched by investors. 4 fresh IPOs would keep Indian primary markets busy this week, total cumulative fundraise would be Rs. 91 billion.
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S&P BSE Sensex & Nifty tumbled as much as 1% on Friday, due to renewed concerns over a spike in bond yields. India's yield on 10-year benchmark government bond touched trade at 6.24% close to 11-month high on Wednesday. Reading time 5 minutes.
S&P BSE Sensex shed 560 points on Friday, in line with global weakness across markets as investors worried over stretched valuations. . On macro-front, Infrastructure output in India dropped by 1.3% .
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