8 May 2022

Soaring inflation & bond yields drag equities

Global bond yields have risen sharply and causing sharp sell-off in equities amid higher inflation expectations. Volatility is expected to elevate in the coming week, Nifty VIX up by 13% in previous s week.

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Sensex & Nifty declined by 4% during the week amid global central bankers tightening monetary policy more aggressively than expected. Out of the blue, RBI hiked interest rates by 40bps & CRR rate by 50bps and sounded concerned over rising food & commodity prices. Every key domestic sector was under selling pressure and broader markets shows declined more than the benchmark indices. Global bond yields have risen sharply and causing sharp sell-off in equities amid higher inflation expectations. Volatility is expected to elevate in the coming week, Nifty VIX up by 13% in previous s week.

In the coming week, investors will watch out for US and China inflation data. Domestic investors will watch out for earnings and key macro-economic data points.

Equity Market Summary:

       In domestic markets FIIs/FPIs sold 171 billion in April 2022 and sold Rs. 64 billion in May 2022 (as of 8th May 2022).

       US indices witnessed sharp sell off on Friday amid higher inflation levels and tightening monetary policy.

       US economy added 428,000 jobs in April, unemployment rate remained at 3.6% and average hourly earnings increased 0.3% against forecast of a 0.4% rise.

       UST which is gauge for inflation expectation touched 3.14% on Friday, level which was seen 2018.

       European indices closed sharply lower on Friday amid weak global cues.

       BOE hiked interest rates by 25bps to 13-year high, sees inflation hitting 10%.

       The FAO Food Price Index eased by 0.8% MoM to 158.5 points in April 2022 but remained close to a record high of 159.7 points in March 2022.

       DXY index almost touched 2 decades highs of 104 levels in previous week.

       Crude oil prices booked weekly gains amid concerns about tight global supply ahead of the European Union's impending embargo on Russian oil.