20 Jun 2022

Sensex & nifty likely to continue choppy trend

Sensex and Nifty declined by more than 5% during the week as the market participants spooked over the decade high inflation growth and central banks hiking rates aggressively.

author dp
Team INRBonds
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Sensex and Nifty declined by more than 5% during the week as the market participants spooked over the decade high inflation growth and central banks hiking rates aggressively. Relentless FIIs/FPIs selling, flattening UST yield curve (fears of economic downturn) and crude prices over USD 100 per barrel are major headwinds for Sensex & Nifty. Safe-haven asset Gold as well declined during the current market rout.

On the macro-economic data front, domestic CPI was reported lower at 7.04% compared to previous month and WPI growth edged up to 15.88%. Net direct tax collections till mid-June 2022 this fiscal increased 45%.

�In the coming week, investors will watch out for global PMI levels and inflation data from Japan.

Equity Market Summary:

       In domestic markets FIIs/FPIs sold 399 billion in May 2022 and sold Rs. 314 billion in June 2022 (as of 19th May 2022).

       US indices declined for the third consecutive week, investors grew concerned that rising inflation and higher interest rates would drag the nation�s economy.

       Fed hiked rates by 75bps to 1.5%-1.75% during its June 2022 policy-meeting, after the inflation rate unexpectedly accelerated last month to 41-year highs.

       US crude oil inventories rose by 1.956 million barrels in the week ended 10th June 2022.

       Industrial production in the US rose 0.2% from a month earlier in May 2022, following an upwardly revised 1.4% growth in April 2022.

       European stocks partly gave up losses on Friday amid pullback from US equities. ECB concerns over inflation spooked markets.

       ECB said policymakers are likely to hike rates in July and September policy-meeting to contain decade high of inflation growth.

       Industrial production in Eurozone increased 0.4% MoM in April 2022, rebounding from a downwardly revised 1.4% drop in March 2022.

       The Bank of England raised its rates by 25bps to 1.25% during its June 2022 meeting, a fifth consecutive rate hike and pushing borrowing costs to the highest in 13 years.

       Industrial production in Japan declined by 1.5% MoM in April 2022, compared with the flash figure of a 1.3% fall.